Galt & Taggart forecasts unemployment to drop to 13.8%

Unemployment will decrease to 13.8% in 2024, from 16.4% in 2023, – according to the report published by Galt&Taggart.

As of the document, unemployment rate stood at 13.8% in 3Q24 The unemployment rate reduced by 1.8ppts y/y to 13.8% in 3Q24, though it saw a slight increase from 13.7% in 2Q24.

During this period, the number of hired employed individuals increased by 3.3% y/y, accounting for 69.2% of total employment, while self-employed persons rose by 2.4% y/y.

Notably, labor force participation rate increased by 1.0ppts y/y to 54.7% in 3Q24. We forecast unemployment rate at 13.8% in 2024, down from 16.4% in 2023.

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